Bitcoin Nears Late Bear Market Phase, Indicators Suggest Similar Conditions to 2022 Low, According to K33 Analysis

Recent analysis by K33 suggests that the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bearish cycle, evidenced by key indicators such as declining leverage and reduced ETF exposure, mirroring conditions seen during last year's market bottom. This shift marks a crucial pivot point for investors, indicating a possible strategic entry point or a moment for recalibrating investment strategies as market conditions stabilize.

Ivy Tran

February 18, 2026

The crypto market's bearish sentiment, seemingly perennial, might be tapering off according to recent analysis by K33. The key indicators-declining leverage and dwindling ETF exposure-mirror the conditions of last year's market low, suggesting that Bitcoin might be nearing the final phases of its bear market cycle. This perspective, laid out by The Block, posits a potentially pivotal moment for investors and analysts alike.

Through 2022, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market has hinged heavily on defensive tactics by investors amid turbulent economic conditions. The recent analysis by K33 underscores a significant shift from the heightened leveraged investments that usually characterize bullish optimism to a more conservative stance, suggesting a collective expectation of sustained low prices. This shift is crucial, not only as a market thermometer but also as a strategic pivot point for portfolio adjustments.

The implications of these conditions cannot be overstated. For businesses and individual investors, the nearing market bottom can serve as a strategic entry point or a recalibration moment for their investment strategies. Companies like Radom, offering on- and off-ramping solutions, stand to benefit as they provide essential infrastructure for both entering and exiting crypto positions in fluid market phases like these. Similarly, falling leverage and ETF withdrawal, which typically signal a cautious or bearish outlook, might soon spur a renewed interest as the market conditions stabilize and potentially rebound.

Moreover, K33’s analysis ties neatly into broader discussions about the maturity of the cryptocurrency market. Academic and market discourse increasingly treats crypto as a mature asset class requiring nuanced, informed strategies rather than mere speculative plays. This is evident from the evolution of market behaviors during downturns and recoveries, suggesting that the crypto markets, while still volatile, are moving towards predictable cycles of financial markets.

Therefore, for anyone keeping a close eye on the pulse of the market-whether you're a casual observer or a seasoned investor-the current climate, as indicated by K33, isn't just another low tide to wait out. It's an insightful preview into the market's cyclical nature and potentially a beacon for strategic engagements in crypto finance.

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